Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.361901 0.472325 0.592760 0.731986 0.886795 1.052166 1.240770
2025-07-27 0.236174 0.387692 0.570328 0.797641 1.065483 1.364933 1.719498
2025-08-03 0.169472 0.337136 0.555299 0.840587 1.188791 1.588225 2.070720
2025-08-10 0.110581 0.279142 0.518298 0.846995 1.261604 1.748187 2.346066
2025-08-17 0.055969 0.206129 0.446508 0.797426 1.256663 1.808836 2.499264
2025-08-24 0.021058 0.144709 0.377488 0.741079 1.235187 1.843410 2.616453
2025-08-31 0.006404 0.109444 0.339853 0.721499 1.255960 1.925690 2.787201
2025-09-07 0.001221 0.089706 0.323491 0.729376 1.310679 2.048512 3.005687
2025-09-14 NaN 0.068802 0.299335 0.722191 1.342854 2.141428 3.186544
2025-09-21 NaN 0.048755 0.270159 0.703427 1.356653 2.209255 3.335248
2025-09-28 NaN 0.045856 0.278768 0.745210 1.454857 2.385488 3.618166
2025-10-05 NaN 0.044925 0.291848 0.794324 1.563492 2.575374 3.918311
2025-10-12 NaN 0.041089 0.298097 0.834684 1.663973 2.760300 4.219712
2025-10-19 NaN 0.043381 0.321672 0.905567 1.809606 3.005847 4.599161
2025-10-26 NaN 0.040834 0.330828 0.951286 1.918744 3.203469 4.918375
2025-11-02 NaN 0.031833 0.318205 0.958170 1.971284 3.326798 5.144494
2025-11-09 NaN 0.016397 0.274120 0.905206 1.934133 3.330496 5.218962
2025-11-16 NaN 0.005686 0.229442 0.844894 1.882360 3.312213 5.263550
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001851 0.207108 0.823901 1.887537 3.368410 5.401221
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000658 0.199896 0.832349 1.937362 3.484657 5.615568
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000008 0.185699 0.824643 1.961324 3.565295 5.783902
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.166849 0.804509 1.964574 3.616893 5.914300
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.176882 0.849320 2.071286 3.810971 6.229234